A stock flushes on a headline. A paper long triggers only when a 15-minute bar closes below the flush low and a later one closes back above it. The stop is a 15-minute close back below the flush low.
Hypothetical · $1,000 per paper trade ·
No fees or slippage · as of 2026-11-05, lab run 12
0 of 21 triggered paper trades closed positive so far. One paper position is open at +8.85%.
NYSE·Welltower Inc.
Triggers only on a 15m close below the trigger line, then a later 15m close back above.
Rumor/M&A headline: advanced talks to buy Instacart for ~$17B (WSJ/Reuters); acquirer-discount repricing, not a business change. Q3 was reported 29 Oct, not 4 Nov (correction to run 11): adj EPS $1.06 beat $0.82, revenue $4.62B beat $4.54B, Q4 GOV $35.4–36.4B, adj EBITDA $900M–$1.1B. 10-session rule binds 6 Nov.
Q3: adj EPS $1.31 beat $1.27–1.28, revenue $34.31B missed $34.85B, FY guide raised, 406k postpaid adds (best Q3 in 5 yrs), $2B+ AWS deal. 10-session rule binds 6 Nov.
Regulatory headline: FTC indicated (Semafor/Reuters) it will sue to block the $5.5B UniFirst acquisition on market-share concerns; FTC has not yet voted. Core business untouched.
Fiscal Q1 2027 (28 Oct premarket) BEAT: revenue ~$5.5B (+6%), EPS $2.83 (+14%), FY outlook RAISED; sell-the-news as margin guidance was only maintained and hiring data cooled. 2-session −5.23%.
Broad tech selloff after the Amazon/Intel prints (Nasdaq −2.3%); no company-specific headline found — high-beta ad-tech fell with the tape. Rallied +31.44% on 5 Nov against the tape.
Commodity rout — gold slumped to a one-year low ($3,891.67, −3.2%) as Fed-hike bets hardened and the tech rout forced metals selling. No company-specific news.
Broad risk-off tape (S&P −1.5%, Nasdaq-100 −3%) + industrials weakness; no company-specific news — board declared the regular quarterly dividend Oct 28. Prior PH flag triggered then stopped 23 Oct. Day low 5 Nov $890.42 — retest of the flush low held by $3.51.
Breakup headline (Reuters): CVS will split in two by H1 2028, separating ~9,000 pharmacies from Aetna/Caremark. Q3 BEAT (adj EPS $2.09 vs $1.65, revenue $108.40B vs ~$104.70B), 2026 guidance RAISED, 2027 outlook at least $8.65 — corporate-action repricing, not an operating miss. Watch: the split is structural (two public companies).
Crude plunge (energy worst performer, VLO −5.9% midday; Brent −9.2%). No company news; Oct-27 crack-spread check stands (Q3 massive beat, adj EPS $23.90). Prior Nov-2 flag died 4 Nov. Day low 5 Nov $350.50 — above the flush low.
Crude plunge (COP −5.9%, XOM −4.8%; Brent −9.2% to $94.11 on Iran-war uncertainty). No company news; pre-earnings de-risking ahead of Q3 due before the open 5 Nov (Zacks Rank #1, ESP +3.74%). Prior Nov-2 flag died 3 Nov. Q3 reported before the open 5 Nov and BEAT (adj EPS $3.27 vs $3.05, revenue $19.44B vs ~$18.59B, dividend +11% to $0.93) — narrative stands.
Memory rout — led S&P 500 decliners (Investopedia/Morningstar) on midterm data-center-slowdown fears (less RAM demand); no company news; fiscal Q1 beat 30 Oct stands. Watch: 8-for-1 split 20 Nov — $803.97 low becomes ~$100.50 split-adjusted.
Memory rout (Fast Company/Morningstar) — data-center-slowdown fears after the midterms; no company news.
Memory rout (Fast Company/Morningstar); no company news.
Semiconductor rout (Reuters) — AMD −17% as SOX fell 11% on AI-spending/data-center fears; no company news; Nov 3 Q3 beat stands. Prior 2 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
Lumentum-deal dilution repricing — TD Cowen cut to Hold ($350→$175), BofA to Neutral ($400→$225); preliminary Q3 FY27 revenue in line with guidance (range narrowed ±5%→±2%). No miss, no guide cut. Prior 2 Nov flag triggered 3 Nov then stopped 4 Nov.
Memory/storage rout (Fast Company/Morningstar); no company news.
AI-server maker fell with the hardware rout (Reuters/Fool); no company news; FY2027 revenue guide $192B stands. Prior 4 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
Semiconductor-equipment rout on Intel contagion / AI-spending fears (Reuters); no company news. Prior 22 Oct flag died 2 Nov.
Same semiconductor-equipment rout as AMAT (Reuters); no company news. Prior 2 Nov flag died 4 Nov.
AI-infrastructure selloff (Reuters); no company news. Prior 22 Oct flag triggered then stopped 30 Oct.
2-session flush (4 Nov −8.11% on 1.89x, 5 Nov −3.91% on 1.45x): energy fell with the broad tape as crude firmed; no company news; Q3 massive beat stands. Prior 4 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
Semiconductor rout (Reuters, SOX −11%); no company news. Prior 22 Oct flag died 4 Nov on time expiry.
AI-networking selloff in the semiconductor rout (Reuters); no company news. Prior 22 Oct flag died 30 Oct.
Political headline (Reuters/Fool) — Democratic oversight fears (autonomous-driving rules, government contracts, SpaceX merger scrutiny) + data-center moratorium fears; no business change. Q3 (22 Oct) BEAT (adj EPS $0.48 vs $0.45, revenue $28.05B vs $27.78B).
Semiconductor rout (Reuters, SOX −11%); no company news. Prior 30 Oct flag died 5 Nov.
Semiconductor rout (Reuters/Investopedia); no company news. Prior 30 Oct flag died 5 Nov.
Software selloff in the broad tech rout (Nasdaq −5.5%); no company news — fiscal Q3 due in December.
2-session flush (4 Nov −6.88% on 1.93x, 5 Nov −3.17% on 1.05x): defense-budget fear continuation in the risk-off tape; no company news; Q3 beat stands. Prior 22 Oct flag died 5 Nov.
Software/AI selloff in the broad tech rout; no company news; Q3 (3 Nov) beat with forecast raised.
Cybersecurity/software selloff in the broad tech rout; no company news — fiscal Q1 due 19 Nov.
Interconnect/AI-infrastructure selloff in the semiconductor rout (SOX −11%); no company news; Q3 reported 28 Oct with $4B buyback. Prior 4 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
Semiconductor rout (Reuters/Investopedia) — Nvidia −9% as the AI trade unwound; no company news; Q3 due 17 Nov. Prior 30 Oct flag died 4 Nov.
Musk-politics (Reuters/Fool) — same Democratic-oversight / data-center-moratorium fears as Tesla; Bloomberg: Goldman/Apollo shopping pieces of the ~$40B chip-lease deal. Financing headline, not a business change; record Q3 (21 Oct) stands. Prior 22 Oct flag triggered 28 Oct then stopped 29 Oct.
2-session flush (4 Nov −1.94% on 3.03x, 5 Nov −6.93% on 1.28x): AI-capex/financing worries + $20B raise overhang; no new company news. Prior 30 Oct flag died 5 Nov.
Software selloff + pre-earnings de-risking (Investopedia/TIKR) ahead of Q3 after the close 5 Nov; no company news during the session. Watch: the print (consensus adj EPS ~$0.35, revenue ~$737M; company guided $736–737M, $0.34) — a miss would retire/reject per the NOW precedent. Prior 30 Oct flag triggered then stopped 2 Nov.
Broad tech selloff + pre-earnings positioning ahead of Q1 FY2027 after the close 8 Nov; no company news. Watch: the 8 Nov print. Prior 2 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
Copper retreated from record highs (Kalkine/Fool) on yields, a firmer dollar and the AI-trade unwind; no company news. Watch: Q3 (27 Oct) cut 2026 copper-sales forecast ~2% / 2027 ~2.5% — disclosed before the 30 Oct flag. Prior 30 Oct flag triggered 3 Nov then stopped 4 Nov.
AI-power selloff continuation on the midterm data-center headlines; no company news; raised FY guidance and ~$176B backlog stand. Prior 22 Oct flag triggered 23 Oct then stopped 4 Nov.
Same AI-power selloff as GEV; no company news. Prior 22 Oct flag triggered 23 Oct then stopped 4 Nov.
Software selloff in the broad tech rout (Nasdaq −5.5%); no company news. Prior 2 Nov flag triggered then stopped 4 Nov.
2-session flush (4 Nov −4.39% on 1.68x, 5 Nov −2.98% on 1.62x): high-multiple profit-taking in the risk-off tape; no company news; Q3 beat stands. Prior 4 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
2-session flush (4 Nov −4.62% on 1.95x, 5 Nov −2.35% on 1.36x): energy fell with the broad tape even as crude firmed; no company news; Q3 beat stands. Prior 2 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
Brokerages caught in the market crossfire (Barron's/TIKR); no company news. Prior 2 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
AI-power/data-center selloff continuation; no company news; raised FY2026 guidance (adj EPS $3.97–$4.02) stands. Prior 2 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
Post-earnings slide continuation + broad risk-off; no new company news; Q3 beat (28 Oct) stands. Prior 4 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
Banks sold off with the broad market (Barron's/TIKR) — 'no company news behind it ... the whole market is selling off'; no company news.
Same broad bank selloff as GS (Barron's/TIKR); no company news.
2-session flush (4 Nov −3.69% on 1.50x, 5 Nov −1.86% on 1.21x): energy fell with the broad tape even as crude firmed; no company news; Q3 beat (30 Oct) stands.
Data-center REIT selloff on the midterm moratorium headlines; no company news; Q3 beat (revenue +5% to $2.30B, AFFO guided up to $8.99B) stands. Prior 22 Oct flag died 4 Nov on time expiry.
Energy sold off with the broad tape even as crude firmed (Brent ~$96, +1.6%); no company news; Q3 beat stands. Prior 2 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
Same broad bank selloff as GS/MS (Barron's/TIKR); no company news.
Refining sold off with the broad tape even as crude firmed; no company news; Q3 beat stands. Prior 2 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
No company-specific headline — broad risk-off (S&P −4.4%); Q3 (21 Oct) BEAT (adj EPS $2.36 vs $2.30, revenue $11.44B vs $11.41B, FY outlook $8.29–$8.44, dividend +8.8%).
Broad selloff; fiscal Q4 reported 4 Nov and BEAT (adj EPS $1.86 vs $1.85 Zacks, revenue $5.20B vs $5.12B, FY2027 adj EPS ~$7.25, dividend +7%). (One vendor's $1.87 consensus would make it a $0.01 miss; Zacks/MarketBeat agree on $1.85 and a beat.)
Financials sold off with the broad market; no company news.
Regulatory — STB ordered UP to make the Vena SWARS speech video public by 5pm 5 Nov in the UP–NS merger review; CPKC asked STB to terminate the review (30 Oct). Merger-process headline, not a business change.
Broad bank selloff + political headline — Senate Democrats plan to probe JPM's Epstein ties (CNBC); bank settled Epstein suits for $365M in 2023 without admitting wrongdoing. Watch: Q3 (13 Oct) was an EPS MISS ($5.75 ex-item vs $5.92) — 16 sessions before this flush, already digested, one-time $658M securities loss, FY2026 NII outlook RAISED the same day.
Energy sold off with the broad tape even as crude firmed (WTI ~$88.64); no company news; Q3 beat stands. Prior 4 Nov flag died 5 Nov.
No company-specific headline — broad risk-off; Q3 (29 Oct) BEAT (EPS $2.55 vs $2.19, revenue $8.30B, guidance raised to $31–$31.3B).
Transports sold off with the broad tape (S&P −4.4%); no company news; fiscal Q1 (17 Sep) beat with FY2027 outlook raised.
No company-specific headline — broad risk-off; Q3 (29 Oct) huge BEAT (revenue $24.4B vs ~$22.6B, non-GAAP EPS $7.48 vs ~$5.71–6.26, revenue guidance RAISED to $91–$92B).
Same broad bank selloff as GS/MS/C (Barron's/TIKR); no company news.
Oilfield services sold off with the broad tape even as crude firmed; no company news; Q3 (17 Oct) beat (adj EPS $0.74 vs $0.73, revenue $9.08B).
Big-tech selloff in the broad rout (Nasdaq −5.5%); no company news; fiscal Q1 FY2027 (28 Oct) beat (EPS $4.52 vs $4.05, revenue $77.6B).
Pre-earnings de-risking + broad selloff ahead of Q3 after the close 5 Nov; no company news during the session. The print, out after the close, was a BEAT (EPS $3.16 vs $2.85, revenue $4.87B vs $4.75B, 2026 growth outlook raised to high-teens, $12B buyback; shares +10% extended). No rejection.
Same UP–NS merger-process headline as NSC — STB ordered UP to make the Vena SWARS speech video public by 5pm 5 Nov; CPKC asked STB to terminate the review (30 Oct).
Payments sold off with the broad tape (S&P −4.4%); no company news; fiscal Q4 (28 Oct) beat (adj EPS $2.82 vs $2.80, revenue $10.70B).
Every triggered paper trade that closed — losses alongside wins.
No paper position was opened. These flags remain on the record.
RETIRED, not a price DEAD: flush low $1,570.76 never touched (4 Nov low $1,700.00, closed $1,752.00), but Q3 reported after the close 4 Nov missed on EPS ($8.83 vs ~$9.36) and net income ($448M vs ~$476M) despite a revenue beat ($10.75B). Per the literal 'no earnings miss' rule the flag is retired, not carried into a post-miss session. No trigger ever fired. Counted separately in Summary row 16.
NASDAQ:AMD,NASDAQ:WDC,NASDAQ:MU,NASDAQ:SNDK,NYSE:ORCL,NYSE:LMT,NYSE:MPC,NYSE:V,NYSE:UNP,NASDAQ:ABNB,NASDAQ:MSFT,NYSE:SLB,NYSE:UBS,NYSE:LLY,NYSE:FDX,NASDAQ:GILD,NYSE:SU,NYSE:JPM,NYSE:NSC,NYSE:BX,NYSE:EMR,NYSE:PM,NYSE:PSX,NYSE:C,NYSE:WMB,NASDAQ:EQIX,NYSE:MS,NYSE:GS,NYSE:CAT,NYSE:JCI,NASDAQ:IBKR,NYSE:SNOW,NYSE:ETN,NYSE:GEV,NYSE:FCX,NASDAQ:CSCO,NYSE:NET,NASDAQ:SPCX,NASDAQ:NVDA,NYSE:APH,NASDAQ:PANW,NASDAQ:PLTR,NASDAQ:CRWD,NASDAQ:AVGO,NASDAQ:TXN,NASDAQ:TSLA,NYSE:ANET,NASDAQ:ADI,NYSE:GLW,NASDAQ:KLAC,NASDAQ:AMAT,NYSE:DELL,NASDAQ:STX,NYSE:CVX,NYSE:XOM,NASDAQ:REGN,NASDAQ:MRVL,NYSE:CVS,NYSE:VLO,NYSE:COP,NASDAQ:APP,NYSE:AEM,NYSE:PH,NASDAQ:ADP,NASDAQ:CTAS,NYSE:VZ,NASDAQ:DASH
0 skipped: no exchange yet
NYSE:WELL
0 skipped: no exchange yet
Imports symbols only, not levels. Trigger lines stay on this page if you want to set your own alerts.
A down day on elevated volume. The lab records the headline and marks the flush low.
A 15-minute close below the line, then a later 15-minute close back above. The reclaim is the paper entry.
A close back below the line is the paper stop. The stop is the only exit for now. If the lab adds a profit-taking rule, it will be shown here first.
Dead after 10 sessions untriggered.Retired if the story behind the flush breaks (e.g. an earnings miss).